UFC ESPN 1 & Bellator 215/216

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Matt Mitrione FREE Breakdown:
Sergei Kharitonov comes into this one riding high with the bookies after defeating Roy Nelson, but at age 38 his skills will probably not be improving. Mitrione gets the exceptional technique, durability and power status which should see him with a sensible advantage. Kharitonov will be seeking to acquire the fight down but it’s going to be hard given Mitrione’s exceptional athleticism. Expect a tentative beginning from both guys before Mitrione starts amassing strikes for a TKO stoppage.
Bet = Mitrione at 1.95 (-105) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 2.85 Units.Francis Ngannou Breakdown:
Cain is coming to this fight after a substantial injury layoff. Actually he has had just 1 victory because Ngannou entered the UFC, having fought 9 times himself. With so many question marks on his state the fight seems to be lined overly broad. Ngannou clearly has enormous stopping power and will be quite dangerous on the toes . If Cain has lost a step or comes in looking slow he is in trouble. Historically his style attracts a lot of pressure to opponents but he is receptive to taking shots himself, particularly when gassed. Both guys have paths to success here, Ngannou can keep the fight standing and find an early KO. Cain will want to avert the early storm and look to wear the bigger man out using takedowns and cage strain. We like the underdog in what looks to be a 50/50 fight going in. On the other hand, the winner of this fight is likely to look dominant.
Bet = Ngannou at 2.65 (+165) chances. Risk 2 Units to acquire 3.3 Units.
James Vick Breakdown:
Vick’s inventory is at an all time low after his recent KO but his conduct towards the top was impressive. Inside this matchup he’ll function as superior technical boxer with both the duration and speed advantage. Felder has a propensity to mimic his competitor but he will need to turn this one into a brawl to find success. It’s possible he joins with a kill shot, but the rest of the avenues to success have been in Vick’s favour. Felder requires a close range fight to use his very best weapons but Vick has revealed he can stick into a gameplan and keep it at range. We like the lineup on Vick to cruise to victory with a medical choice.
Bet = Vick at 1.91 (-110) chances. Risk 3 Units to acquire 2.73 Units.
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